Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 22.661620 26.217890 30.064314 34.523087 39.538287 44.993700 51.365387
2025-02-09 16.601452 21.516386 27.348542 34.726259 43.752046 54.372970 67.749371
2025-02-16 12.870305 18.290378 25.216057 34.593582 46.821511 62.074030 82.364436
2025-02-23 10.280354 15.825245 23.373824 34.194387 49.063256 68.502902 95.511998
2025-03-02 8.458140 13.991619 21.961431 33.969355 51.229887 74.712473 108.544538
2025-03-09 7.063046 12.493430 20.731349 33.716340 53.147022 80.525250 121.236825
2025-03-16 5.563073 10.548466 18.524889 31.684362 52.180777 82.074264 127.915772
2025-03-23 4.983821 10.002085 18.384164 32.724849 55.776365 90.311592 144.544047
2025-03-30 4.575284 9.675419 18.535765 34.200386 60.099036 99.833223 163.545470
2025-04-06 3.872293 8.688412 17.432374 33.463698 60.799683 103.836786 174.416277
2025-04-13 3.166512 7.565690 15.931102 31.857773 59.888879 105.194146 181.199032
2025-04-20 2.989273 7.476092 16.297425 33.549288 64.598479 115.712032 202.824794
2025-04-27 2.924830 7.645310 17.227718 36.452743 71.789902 130.972682 233.333046
2025-05-04 2.597644 7.187695 16.893855 37.006131 74.963501 139.911880 254.309113
2025-05-11 2.256135 6.627233 16.271389 36.929471 76.979373 147.008068 272.629647
2025-05-18 1.938073 6.052658 15.530428 36.518920 78.310271 152.959299 289.288112
2025-05-25 1.679850 5.571003 14.916490 36.282973 79.919614 159.448022 307.145453
2025-06-01 1.456402 5.129632 14.324785 36.015620 81.419742 165.790306 325.022856
2025-06-08 1.158981 4.400395 12.939494 33.864735 78.986792 164.801483 329.888705
2025-06-15 1.072692 4.280534 13.018554 34.966295 83.204665 176.313825 357.621600
2025-06-22 1.015379 4.239218 13.289368 36.527946 88.475587 190.063350 390.004937
2025-06-29 0.863936 3.848224 12.591470 35.748334 88.749961 194.293968 405.106728
2025-07-06 0.701135 3.365994 11.563685 34.048359 86.888662 194.250569 412.215371